Marotta’s Gone-Fishing Portfolio: Review of 2025 Returns

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In the investing world, a gone-fishing portfolio is a simple asset allocation which performs well with only infrequent rebalancing.

We have been offering the Marotta’s Gone-Fishing Portfolio since 2012 as a free portfolio recommendation intended for people who are just getting started with investing. This portfolio has a limited number of investments with a balanced asset allocation that should do well with dampened volatility. Its primary appeal is simplicity, but a secondary virtue is that it avoids the worst mistakes of the financial services industry.

Last year, our 2025 Marotta’s Gone-Fishing Portfolio was a recommendation of 12 stock investments. It is a paired down version of our actual managed investing strategy, which has over 40 low-cost ETFs to target over 30 sectors.

This article is to report on the 2025 performance of those twelve stocks.

In this analysis, we have used returns ending December 31, 2025 as reported by Morningstar. For the portfolio, we have used the 100% Stock allocation invested at the start of the relevant period and then permitted the portfolio to drift throughout the period.

Overall Returns

Ticker 3-Month 6-Month 9-Month 1-Year
iShares MSCI ACWI ACWI 3.25% 10.99% 23.58% 22.41%
All-Stock Default Gone-Fishing 4.52% 9.96% 19.33% 20.19%
All-Stock Default Vanguard Gone-Fishing 3.45% 10.50% 19.30% 20.74%

 

Without rebalancing, the all-stock Marotta 2025 Gone-Fishing Portfolio had a 1-year return of 20.19% and the all-stock Marotta 2025 Vanguard Gone-Fishing Portfolio had a 1-year return of 20.74%.

For comparison, iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI) saw a 2025 return of 22.41%. MSCI ACWI All Cap represents every stock in the world at exactly its cap weight. Any deviation from this index is a choice of investment strategies. Sometimes those choices will increase or reduce risk. They may also increase or reduce returns.

This past year, our choices decreased returns for both our default and Vanguard portfolios.

U.S. Stock Returns

Allocation
Vanguard  |  Default
Ticker 3-Month 6-Month 9-Month 1-Year
Vanguard Total Stock Market VTI 2.45% 10.93% 23.04% 17.10%
Default Gone-Fishing U.S. Stock 2.92% 9.36% 15.19% 12.50%
Vanguard Gone-Fishing U.S. Stock 2.97% 9.57% 15.12% 12.66%
Vanguard Value 7.80% 0.00% VTV 2.94% 9.17% 12.31% 15.26%
SPDR® MSCI USA StrategicFactors 0.00% 7.80% QUS 2.58% 7.68% 12.78% 14.12%
Vanguard Mid-Cap Value 8.90% VOE 2.13% 8.95% 12.20% 12.08%
Vanguard Small-Cap Value 9.70% VBR 1.97% 9.62% 15.29% 9.09%
Vanguard Information Technology 10.60% VGT 1.06% 13.89% 39.43% 21.78%
Vanguard Health Care 9.50% VHT 11.53% 17.08% 10.26% 15.46%
Vanguard Consumer Staples 6.30% VDC -0.60% -2.48% -1.84% 2.17%
Vanguard Real Estate 4.00% VNQ -2.33% 1.23% 0.55% 3.26%

Note: We have included Vanguard Real Estate in our U.S. Stock reporting here for our Gone-Fishing portfolios. In our full Asset Allocation Design though, we typically section real estate ETFs into a separate asset class of Resource Stocks and report on it separately. That being said, this U.S. Stock portfolio is fairly compared to Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI) because VTI includes U.S. REITs.

Without rebalancing, the U.S. Stock portion of the Marotta 2025 Gone-Fishing Portfolio had a 1-year return of 12.50% and the U.S. Stock portion of the Marotta 2025 Vanguard Gone-Fishing Portfolio had a 1-year return of 12.66%.

This can be compared to Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), every stock in the U.S. exactly at its cap weight, which saw a 1-year return of 17.10%.

In our 2022 update, we discussed how those who concentrated their 2021 allocations in large-cap growth saw the best returns, but that for 2022 we thought investors may be glad to diversify elsewhere. In 2022, that turned out to be true, but that has not held true for 2023, 2024, or 2025.

In 2025, large-cap growth fund Vanguard S&P 500 (VOO) saw a one-year return of 17.82% compared to the value-tilt funds of Vanguard Value (VTV) which posted a 15.26% return and SPDR® MSCI USA StrategicFactors (QUS) which posted a 14.12% return. Again, most of the large-cap growth return was driven by Vanguard Information Technology, which posted a return of 21.78% for the one year.

In our default 2022 and 2023 Marotta’s Gone-Fishing Portfolio and in our managed portfolios, we showed preference to QUS over VTV so as to make only half a mistake. In 2022, VTV would have been the better choice. In 2023 and 2024, QUS was the better choice. In 2025, VTV was the better choice again. This flip flopping makes us thankful we made only half a mistake.

Foreign Returns

Allocation
Vanguard  |  Default
Ticker 3-Month 6-Month 9-Month 1-Year
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ACWX 4.90% 11.91% 24.73% 32.59%
Full Freedom Investing Strategy 6.18% 11.11% 26.46% 33.89%
Default Gone-Fishing Foreign Stock 6.63% 10.74% 24.79% 30.29%
Vanguard Gone-Fishing Foreign Stock 4.09% 11.73% 24.79% 31.37%
Franklin FTSE Switzerland 0.00% 6.50% FLSW 8.29% 9.47% 18.88% 32.95%
iShares MSCI Singapore 0.00% 6.50% EWS -0.53% 8.50% 20.78% 31.33%
iShares MSCI Denmark 0.00% 6.50% EDEN 6.44% 2.04% 13.27% 10.60%
iShares MSCI Sweden 0.00% 6.50% EWD 5.60% 8.97% 21.11% 36.53%
Columbia EM Core ex-China 0.00% 17.20% XCEM 9.16% 16.03% 34.28% 33.98%
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets 17.10% 0.00% VWO 1.15% 11.38% 22.07% 25.58%
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets 26.10% 0.00% VEA 6.01% 11.96% 26.57% 35.17%

 

Without rebalancing, the Foreign Stock portion of the Marotta 2025 Gone-Fishing Portfolio had a return of 30.29% and the Marotta 2025 Vanguard Gone-Fishing Portfolio had a return of 31.37%.

These returns can be compared to iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF (ACWX), every stock in the foreign world exactly at its cap weight, which saw a 1-year return of 32.59%.

It can also be compared to our full Freedom Investing strategy (a different model portfolio which represents our static targets), which would have had a 1-year return of 33.89%. In 2024, our Freedom Investing Strategy underperformed the Default Gone-Fishing Portfolio due primarily to the inclusion of South Korea. This year, our Freedom Investing outperformed the Default Gone-Fishing Portfolio primary due to the inclusion of South Korea which posted a return of 91.81% for the year.

Reminder: Stay the Course

South Korea (FLKR +91.81%), Spain (EWP +78.01%), and Italy (EWI +55.68%) were especially profound performers for 2025. However, the worst reason to buy more of something is because it has done well recently.

Instead, we strive to utilize a portfolio strategy that does not require market timing to be successful. We think the contrarian effect of rebalancing on a historically justifiable portfolio gives the best chance of weathering the market ups and downs.

For this reason, our advice is to stay the course. It is always a good time to have a balanced portfolio.

Photo by Jorge C on Unsplash. Image has been cropped. Returns data gathered from Morningstar Advisor Workstation.

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Chief Operating Officer, CFP®, APMA®

Megan Russell has worked with Marotta Wealth Management most of her life. She loves to find ways to make the complexities of financial planning accessible to everyone. She is the author of over 900 financial articles and is known for her expertise on tax planning.